AJ Barner is ranked #14 among 115 eligible NFL tight ends. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Percentile89%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK
AJ Barner 2026 fantasy outlook
8.6Proj FPTS · ~146 / 17 games
3.4–12.2Typical game · middle 50%
#971QB draft rank
#115Superflex rank
#155 · TE14Scoring rank · position
169.2ADP (ESPN drafts)
We rank him #97 overall and TE14 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 169.2 — the market drafts him 273 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (4.6 touches/gm), steady per-touch efficiency.
INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
SEA 2026 schedule — bye week 11
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
NE
W2
@ARI
W3
@WSH
W4
LAC
W5
SF
W6
@DEN
W7
KC
W8
CHI
W9
ARI
W10
@LV
W11
BYE
W12
@SF
W13
DAL
W14
NYG
W15
@PHI
W16
LAR
W17
@CAR
W18
@LAR
Plan around the week-11 bye when pairing Barner with other TEs on your roster.
AJ Barner consistency and floor
17 GAMES
1.2
Floor (p10)
8.7
Average
17.1
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered53%
Boom rate125%+ of average35%
Bust rateunder half of average35%
8.7
Season avg FPTS
8.4
Last 10 FPTS
8.6
Last 5 FPTS
Barner vs other tight ends
PERCENTILE · 115 RANKED
Targets6883
Receptions5287
Rec yards51983
Rec TD694
Fantasy PPG8.784
Percentile among all ranked NFL tight ends · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #110 overall, #14 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should AJ Barner be drafted in?
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 169.2 (roughly round 15 in a 12-team league). We rank him #97 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.
QHow many fantasy points will AJ Barner score in 2026?
We project 8.6 PPR points per game across an expected 17 games — approximately 146 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 3.4 and 12.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #155 in projected scoring (#97 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is AJ Barner for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 53% of games, with a floor of 1.2 and a ceiling of 17.1 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 35% of games and busted (under half his average) in 35%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.