TURFSPLIT
Home / Rankings / 2027 Projections

2027 NFL Fantasy Draft Rankings — 1QB

12 teams · 1QB / 2RB / 2WR / 1TE / 1 FLEX · Full-PPR · replacement baselines QB12 / RB24 / WR36 / TE12

Ranked by value over replacement (VORP): projected season total minus the replacement-level player at the position, so a QB6 no longer outranks an elite RB just because quarterbacks score more. In 1QB leagues only one quarterback starts, so QB value is heavily discounted. Projections come purely from 2026 production and recent form. ESPN ADP only flags draft value, never adjusts the numbers. This is the board to draft from — for what already happened, see the 2026 results. Rebuilt October 26, 2026.

Mode2026 Results2027 ProjectionsWhat we expect next season — use this for your draft
PlayerVORPProj PPR PTS/GProj GPProj total2026 rankADPValueStatus
01Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJaxon Smith-NjigbaWR1 · SEA+18127.910279#15.4VALUE+4.4
02Jahmyr GibbsJahmyr GibbsRB2 · DET+15028.59257#31.7FAIR−0.3
03Kenneth Walker IIIKenneth Walker IIIRB3 · KC+11424.69221#710.6STRONG VALUE+7.6
04Puka NacuaPuka NacuaWR10 · LAR+10622.79204#376.9FAIR+2.9
05Bijan RobinsonBijan RobinsonRB4 · ATL+10120.810208#83.8FAIR−1.2
06Christian McCaffreyChristian McCaffreyRB5 · SF+9920.610206#108.8FAIR+2.8
07CeeDee LambCeeDee LambWR5 · DAL+9621.59194#2412.6VALUE+5.6
08Amon-Ra St. BrownAmon-Ra St. BrownWR6 · DET+9521.49193#2510.2FAIR+2.2
09Trey McBrideTrey McBrideTE1 · ARI+9018.610186#2022STRONG VALUE+13.0
10Jonathan TaylorJonathan TaylorRB6 · IND+8919.610196#139.7FAIR−0.3
11Kyren WilliamsKyren WilliamsRB7 · LAR+8919.610196#1629.4STRONG VALUE+18.4
12Christian WatsonChristian WatsonWR3 · GB+8718.510185#2166.2STRONG VALUE+54.2
13Zay FlowersZay FlowersWR8 · BAL+8620.49184#3037.6STRONG VALUE+24.6
14Chris OlaveChris OlaveWR7 · NO+8017.810178#2628.3STRONG VALUE+14.3
15Zach CharbonnetZach CharbonnetRB1 · SEA+7711.516184#2148.7STRONG VALUE+133.7OUTOct 26
16Brock BowersBrock BowersTE4 · LV+7619.19172#5922.2VALUE+6.2
17Malik NabersMalik NabersWR9 · NYG+7417.210172#3329.9STRONG VALUE+12.9
18Josh AllenJosh AllenQB1 · BUF+6926.79240#413.6RICH−4.4
19D'Andre SwiftD'Andre SwiftRB8 · CHI+6817.510175#2750.3STRONG VALUE+31.3
20Ashton JeantyAshton JeantyRB9 · LV+6717.410174#3125.9VALUE+5.9
21Derrick HenryDerrick HenryRB10 · BAL+6517.210172#3217.3RICH−3.7
22Jaylen WarrenJaylen WarrenRB11 · PIT+6417.110171#3478.6STRONG VALUE+56.6
23James Cook IIIJames Cook IIIRB12 · BUF+6318.99170#3612.8VERY RICH−10.2
24Isaiah LikelyIsaiah LikelyTE2 · NYG+6215.810158#3971.7STRONG VALUE+47.7
25Javonte WilliamsJavonte WilliamsRB14 · DAL+5718.29164#4235.6VALUE+10.6
26Matthew GoldenMatthew GoldenWR12 · GB+5715.510155#4886STRONG VALUE+60.0
27Chuba HubbardChuba HubbardRB15 · CAR+5518.09162#4376.8STRONG VALUE+49.8
28Tee HigginsTee HigginsWR13 · CIN+5517.09153#5058.2STRONG VALUE+30.2
29Davante AdamsDavante AdamsWR14 · LAR+5517.09153#5176.1STRONG VALUE+47.1INJURY RESERVEOct 26
30Drake LondonDrake LondonWR11 · ATL+5315.110151#4624.5RICH−5.5
31George KittleGeorge KittleTE3 · SF+5314.910149#4754.5STRONG VALUE+23.5
32Bucky IrvingBucky IrvingRB13 · TB+5015.710157#4066.2STRONG VALUE+34.2
33Ja'Marr ChaseJa'Marr ChaseWR17 · CIN+4816.29146#556.1VERY RICH−26.9
34Tetairoa McMillanTetairoa McMillanWR18 · CAR+4816.29146#5640.8FAIR+6.8
35Tre TuckerTre TuckerWR15 · LV+4514.310143#53156.8STRONG VALUE+121.8
36Garrett WilsonGarrett WilsonWR16 · NYJ+4414.210142#5443.1FAIR+7.1
37Luther Burden IIILuther Burden IIIWR19 · CHI+4113.910139#5791.3STRONG VALUE+54.3
38Jayden HigginsJayden HigginsWR4 · HOU+408.117138#22——
39Parker WashingtonParker WashingtonWR20 · JAX+4015.39138#6172.6STRONG VALUE+33.6
40Nico CollinsNico CollinsWR30 · HOU+3915.29137#8231.2RICH−8.8
41Brock PurdyBrock PurdyQB4 · SF+3520.610206#957.2VALUE+16.2
42Mike EvansMike EvansWR22 · SF+3314.59131#6690.5STRONG VALUE+48.5OUTOct 26
43Jared GoffJared GoffQB8 · DET+3222.59203#17109.6STRONG VALUE+66.6
44Drake MayeDrake MayeQB2 · NE+3020.110201#548.7FAIR+4.7
45Tyler WarrenTyler WarrenTE9 · IND+3014.09126#10169.8VALUE+24.8OUTOct 26
46Jameson WilliamsJameson WilliamsWR25 · DET+2814.09126#7190.5STRONG VALUE+44.5
47Justin JeffersonJustin JeffersonWR34 · MIN+2814.09126#9814.8VERY RICH−32.2
48Jalen CokerJalen CokerWR36 · CAR+2814.09126#102105.6STRONG VALUE+57.6
49Joe BurrowJoe BurrowQB10 · CIN+2722.09198#1955FAIR+6.0
50Stefon DiggsStefon DiggsWR37 · WSH+2713.99125#104117.3STRONG VALUE+67.3
51Bhayshul TutenBhayshul TutenRB16 · JAX+2514.79132#6366.6VALUE+15.6
52Devaughn VeleDevaughn VeleWR24 · NO+2512.310123#69166STRONG VALUE+114.0
53George PickensGeorge PickensWR27 · DAL+2413.69122#7539.3RICH−13.7
54Sam LaPortaSam LaPortaTE6 · DET+2313.29119#7774.3VALUE+20.3
55Michael WilsonMichael WilsonWR26 · ARI+1911.710117#74113.1STRONG VALUE+58.1
56Tony PollardTony PollardRB17 · TEN+1812.510125#64114.4STRONG VALUE+58.4
57Tyler ShoughTyler ShoughQB5 · NO+1718.810188#11142.8STRONG VALUE+85.8
58C.J. StroudC.J. StroudQB9 · HOU+1618.710187#18146.4STRONG VALUE+88.4
59Kirk CousinsKirk CousinsQB11 · LV+1418.510185#23165.9STRONG VALUE+106.9
60Rhamondre StevensonRhamondre StevensonRB19 · NE+1412.110121#70105.5STRONG VALUE+45.5
61Quinshon JudkinsQuinshon JudkinsRB20 · CLE+1313.39120#7676FAIR+15.0
62Carnell TateCarnell TateWR28 · TEN+1211.010110#78109.1STRONG VALUE+47.1
63Jordan LoveJordan LoveQB7 · GB+1118.210182#15136.2STRONG VALUE+73.2
64DK MetcalfDK MetcalfWR29 · PIT+1110.910109#80104.1VALUE+40.1
65Ollie Gordon IIOllie Gordon IIRB29 · MIA+1113.19118#115137.3STRONG VALUE+72.3
66Deebo Samuel Sr.Deebo Samuel Sr.WR47 · SF+1112.19109#134154.8STRONG VALUE+88.8OUTOct 26
67Deebo SamuelDeebo SamuelWR48 · SF+1112.19109#135154.8STRONG VALUE+87.8OUTOct 26
68Mike GesickiMike GesickiTE20 · CIN+1111.99107#140168.5STRONG VALUE+100.5
69Ricky PearsallRicky PearsallWR21 · SF+109.811108#62——
70Denzel BostonDenzel BostonWR31 · CLE+910.710107#84145.4STRONG VALUE+75.4
71Emeka EgbukaEmeka EgbukaWR33 · TB+911.99107#9469.3FAIR−1.7OUTOct 26
72Travis KelceTravis KelceTE8 · KC+911.79105#97100VALUE+28.0
73Chase BrownChase BrownRB22 · CIN+612.59113#8627.4VERY RICH−45.6
74Tucker KraftTucker KraftTE7 · GB+610.210102#93106.4VALUE+32.4
75Matthew StaffordMatthew StaffordQB6 · LAR+517.610176#14121.5VALUE+46.5
76Bryce YoungBryce YoungQB14 · CAR+519.69176#35128.5STRONG VALUE+52.5
77Aaron Jones Sr.Aaron Jones Sr.RB24 · MIN+412.39111#89114.6VALUE+37.6QUESTIONABLEOct 26
78Braelon AllenBraelon AllenRB21 · NYJ+210.910109#81160.4STRONG VALUE+82.4
79Hunter HenryHunter HenryTE10 · NE+19.71097#105155.6STRONG VALUE+76.6
80Trevor LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQB13 · JAX+019.09171#2991.3FAIR+11.3
81Emanuel WilsonEmanuel WilsonRB23 · SEA+010.710107#87168.1STRONG VALUE+87.1
82Juwan JohnsonJuwan JohnsonTE11 · NO+09.61096#106153.9STRONG VALUE+71.9
83Pat FreiermuthPat FreiermuthTE12 · PIT+09.61096#107161.1STRONG VALUE+78.1
84Keon ColemanKeon ColemanWR39 · BUF+010.9998#114166.9STRONG VALUE+82.9
85Michael MayerMichael MayerTE13 · LV−19.51095#109168STRONG VALUE+83.0
86Harold Fannin Jr.Harold Fannin Jr.TE14 · CLE−19.51095#110103.3FAIR+17.3
87T.J. HockensonT.J. HockensonTE17 · MIN−110.5995#124153.7STRONG VALUE+66.7
88Cam SkatteboCam SkatteboRB25 · NYG−211.79105#9675.9FAIR−12.1QUESTIONABLEOct 26
89Jaylin NoelJaylin NoelWR38 · HOU−39.51095#111167.3STRONG VALUE+78.3QUESTIONABLEOct 26
90Dalton SchultzDalton SchultzTE15 · HOU−39.31093#116168.1STRONG VALUE+78.1
91RJ HarveyRJ HarveyRB27 · DEN−611.29101#108140.2VALUE+49.2
92DeMario DouglasDeMario DouglasWR40 · NE−69.21092#118167.3STRONG VALUE+75.3
93Kyle Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TE16 · ATL−69.01090#121102.8FAIR+9.8
94Brenton StrangeBrenton StrangeTE19 · JAX−610.0990#139158.6STRONG VALUE+64.6
95Colston LovelandColston LovelandTE18 · CHI−78.91089#12754.2VERY RICH−40.8
96Keenan AllenKeenan AllenWR45 · IND−710.1991#132164.8STRONG VALUE+68.8
97Jakobi MeyersJakobi MeyersWR46 · JAX−710.1991#133135.6VALUE+38.6
98Blake CorumBlake CorumRB26 · LAR−89.91099#103142.3VALUE+44.3
99Alvin KamaraAlvin KamaraRB28 · NO−811.0999#113159.3VALUE+60.3
100KC ConcepcionKC ConcepcionWR41 · CLE−89.01090#123161.5VALUE+61.5
101Dalton KincaidDalton KincaidTE21 · BUF−89.8988#142142VALUE+41.0
102Brandon AiyukBrandon AiyukWR42 · SF−98.91089#126——
103Isiah PachecoIsiah PachecoRB18 · DET−106.91497#65167.1VALUE+64.1INJURY RESERVEOct 26
104Jaylen WaddleJaylen WaddleWR43 · DEN−108.81088#12890.4FAIR−13.6QUESTIONABLEOct 26
105Wan'Dale RobinsonWan'Dale RobinsonWR44 · TEN−108.81088#129131.6VALUE+26.6
106Germie BernardGermie BernardWR51 · PIT−109.8988#141149.3VALUE+43.3
107Aaron RodgersAaron RodgersQB12 · PIT−1116.010160#28165.3VALUE+58.3
108Romeo DoubsRomeo DoubsWR52 · NE−119.7987#143159.4VALUE+51.4INJURY RESERVEOct 26
109Rome OdunzeRome OdunzeWR49 · CHI−128.61086#136102.2FAIR−6.8
110Malik WashingtonMalik WashingtonWR54 · MIA−129.5986#150165.2VALUE+55.2
111Khalil ShakirKhalil ShakirWR56 · BUF−159.2983#152144.4VALUE+33.4
112Tyler HigbeeTyler HigbeeTE23 · LAR−159.0981#156168.9VALUE+56.9
113Jeremiyah LoveJeremiyah LoveRB35 · ARI−1510.2992#16648.5VERY RICH−64.5OUTOct 26
114Deshaun WatsonDeshaun WatsonQB15 · CLE−1615.510155#38169VALUE+55.0
115Josh DownsJosh DownsWR53 · IND−168.21082#148143.4FAIR+28.4
116Dak PrescottDak PrescottQB19 · DAL−1717.19154#49100.4FAIR−15.6
117Roman WilsonRoman WilsonWR69 · PIT−179.0981#196169.9VALUE+52.9INJURY RESERVEOct 26
118Woody MarksWoody MarksRB30 · HOU−188.91089#125150.5VALUE+32.5
119Kalif RaymondKalif RaymondWR55 · CHI−188.01080#151169.6VALUE+50.6
120Dontayvion WicksDontayvion WicksWR58 · PHI−188.9980#157167.8VALUE+47.8OUTOct 26
121Darren WallerDarren WallerTE24 · CAR−198.6977#164168.9VALUE+47.9
122Rachaad WhiteRachaad WhiteRB38 · WSH−199.8988#179140.3FAIR+18.3
123Terry McLaurinTerry McLaurinWR71 · WSH−198.8979#20099.4RICH−23.6OUTOct 26
124Jacoby BrissettJacoby BrissettQB18 · ARI−2015.110151#45168.9VALUE+44.9
125Xavier HutchinsonXavier HutchinsonWR57 · HOU−207.81078#153169.9VALUE+44.9
126Ryan FlournoyRyan FlournoyWR60 · DAL−208.7978#162169VALUE+43.0
127Geno SmithGeno SmithQB16 · NYJ−2115.010150#41169.4VALUE+42.4
128Patrick MahomesPatrick MahomesQB17 · KC−2116.79150#4486.1VERY RICH−41.9
129Omarion HamptonOmarion HamptonRB33 · LAC−219.6986#14739.8VERY RICH−89.2
130Xavier WorthyXavier WorthyWR61 · KC−218.6977#165137.7FAIR+7.7
131Chris Godwin Jr.Chris Godwin Jr.WR59 · TB−227.61076#159145.2FAIR+14.2
132J.K. DobbinsJ.K. DobbinsRB32 · DEN−248.31083#145131.1FAIR−0.9
133Mark AndrewsMark AndrewsTE25 · BAL−247.21072#171147.5FAIR+14.5
134Darnell WashingtonDarnell WashingtonTE26 · PIT−257.11071#172168.1VALUE+34.1
135Kendrick BourneKendrick BourneWR64 · ARI−258.1973#182169.8VALUE+34.8
136David MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRB40 · HOU−259.1982#191109.5RICH−26.5OUTOct 26
137Greg DulcichGreg DulcichTE34 · MIA−257.9971#214169.8FAIR+32.8
138Michael Penix Jr.Michael Penix Jr.QB23 · ATL−2616.19145#72168.7FAIR+30.7
139Rashod BatemanRashod BatemanWR62 · BAL−267.21072#170169FAIR+30.0
140Jacory Croskey-MerrittJacory Croskey-MerrittRB41 · WSH−269.0981#195155.1FAIR+15.1INJURY RESERVEOct 26
141Jalen HurtsJalen HurtsQB22 · PHI−2716.09144#68100.2VERY RICH−40.8INJURY RESERVEOct 26
142Brian Robinson Jr.Brian Robinson Jr.RB34 · ATL−278.9980#158165.6FAIR+23.6OUTOct 26
143Ladd McConkeyLadd McConkeyWR74 · LAC−287.8970#21785VERY RICH−58.0QUESTIONABLEOct 26
144Noah FantNoah FantTE37 · NO−287.5968#225169.9FAIR+25.9
145Jahan DotsonJahan DotsonWR65 · ATL−296.91069#183169.6FAIR+24.6
146Jake FergusonJake FergusonTE29 · DAL−297.4967#198144.5FAIR−1.5
147Jordan AddisonJordan AddisonWR76 · MIN−307.5968#223139.7FAIR−7.3
148Tre' HarrisTre' HarrisWR77 · LAC−307.5968#224169.9FAIR+21.9QUESTIONABLEOct 26
149Malachi FieldsMalachi FieldsWR66 · NYG−316.71067#187169.2FAIR+20.2
150Antonio WilliamsAntonio WilliamsWR70 · WSH−317.4967#197169.7FAIR+19.7

VORP = projected season total minus the replacement-level player's total at the position (12-team baselines: QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12; kickers excluded). Projection = 65% season average + 35% final-five-game form; expected games = last season's availability regressed 30% toward a full schedule. ADP comes from live ESPN drafts and is never an input to our numbers — it only measures the market. Value grades: the gap between ADP and our rank, relative to draft position. Full details in the methodology.