Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson is ranked #18 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 2.4 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 7.4 touches/game over that stretch vs 8.4 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.
Justin Jefferson 2026 fantasy outlook
The market drafts him around #11; we rank him #50 overall and WR18 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts. Let someone else pay the premium. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (7.4 touches/gm late vs 8.4 season), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.
MIN 2026 schedule — bye week 6
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPTJustin Jefferson consistency and floor
17 GAMESJefferson vs other wide receivers
PERCENTILE · 197 RANKEDJefferson fantasy points, last 15 games
2025 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUSTJustin Jefferson game log — 2025
■ BOOM · ■ BUSTMore on Jefferson and the WR board
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #62 overall, #18 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 11.9 (roughly round 1 in a 12-team league). We rank him #50 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is priced above our projection.
We project 11 PPR points per game across an expected 17 games — approximately 187 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 7.7 and 14.8 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #111 in projected scoring (#50 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 65% of games, with a floor of 3.1 and a ceiling of 19.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 24% of games and busted (under half his average) in 18%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.