TIER 6 · #57 OVERALLDepth piece — #21 among quarterbacks
C.J. Stroud is ranked #21 among 54 eligible NFL quarterbacks. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Percentile63%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK
C.J. Stroud 2026 fantasy outlook
15.2Proj FPTS · ~228 / 15 games
10.4–18.4Typical game · middle 50%
#1381QB draft rank
#45Superflex rank
#45 · QB21Scoring rank · position
166.4ADP (ESPN drafts)
We rank him #138 overall and QB21 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 166.4 — the market drafts him 152 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (216.6 total yards/gm late vs 232.1 season), late-season gains in per-touch efficiency.
INJURY RISK Medium?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
HOU 2026 schedule — bye week 8
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
BUF
W2
CIN
W3
@IND
W4
DAL
W5
@TEN
W6
@JAX
W7
NYG
W8
BYE
W9
@LAC
W10
@CLE
W11
IND
W12
BAL
W13
@PIT
W14
@WSH
W15
JAX
W16
@PHI
W17
@GB
W18
TEN
Plan around the week-8 bye when pairing Stroud with other QBs on your roster.
C.J. Stroud consistency and floor
14 GAMES
8.7
Floor (p10)
14.9
Average
23.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered71%
Boom rate125%+ of average21%
Bust rateunder half of average7%
14.9
Season avg FPTS
15.6
Last 10 FPTS
15.7
Last 5 FPTS
Stroud vs other quarterbacks
PERCENTILE · 54 RANKED
Pass yards3,04167
Pass TD1963
Rush yards20972
Fantasy PPG14.954
Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #57 overall, #21 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should C.J. Stroud be drafted in?
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 166.4 (roughly round 14 in a 12-team league). We rank him #138 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.
QHow many fantasy points will C.J. Stroud score in 2026?
We project 15.2 PPR points per game across an expected 15 games — approximately 228 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 10.4 and 18.4 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #45 in projected scoring (#138 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is C.J. Stroud for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 71% of games, with a floor of 8.7 and a ceiling of 23.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 21% of games and busted (under half his average) in 7%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.
