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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

RANK #442026 RESULTS · FULL-PPRQB17QB · Kansas City ChiefsAge 316' 2"2026 season
6
Games
1,474
Pass yards
9
Pass TD
0
INT
71
Rush yards
108
FPTS (PPR)
18.0
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #44 OVERALLDepth piece — #17 among quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes is ranked #17 among 39 eligible NFL quarterbacks. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 2.3 points per game below his average.

Percentile59%
2026 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated October 26
LATE FLIER

Patrick Mahomes 2026 fantasy outlook

16.7Proj FPTS · ~150 / 9 games
10.5–21.7Typical game · middle 50%
#1281QB draft rank
#46Superflex rank
#39 · QB17Scoring rank · position
86.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

Market price (ADP 86.1) lines up with our rank (#128 overall and QB17 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts). Draft confidently at his current ADP.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated October 26 · ESPN ADP updated October 26 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

KC 2026 schedule — bye week 5

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
DEN
W2
IND
W3
@MIA
W4
@LV
W5
BYE
W6
LAC
W7
@SEA
W8
@DEN
W9
NYJ
W10
@ATL
W11
ARI
W12
@BUF
W13
@LAR
W14
@CIN
W15
NE
W16
SF
W17
@LAC
W18
LV
Plan around the week-5 bye when pairing Mahomes with other QBs on your roster.

Patrick Mahomes consistency and floor

6 GAMES
6
Floor (p10)
18.0
Average
29
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered67%
Boom rate125%+ of average33%
Bust rateunder half of average17%
16.7
Season avg FPTS
16.7
Last 10 FPTS
15.7
Last 5 FPTS

Mahomes vs other quarterbacks

PERCENTILE · 58 RANKED
Pass yards1,47469
Pass TD972
Rush yards7164
Fantasy PPG18.074
Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best

Mahomes fantasy points, last 6 games

2026 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
40200AVG 18.021.7W129W215.9W317W410.5W66W7
SEASON HIGH 29SEASON LOW 6LAST 5 AVG 15.7

Patrick Mahomes game log — 2026

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
WKOPPRESULTPASS YDSPASS TDINTRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
7@SEAL 20-3165011406
6LACW 22-62720116010.5
4@LVW 30-27225200017
3@MIAW 24-10246211015.9
2INDW 33-30 OT3823017029
1DENW 31-101842123121.7
QIs Patrick Mahomes a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #44 overall, #17 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Patrick Mahomes be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 86.1 (roughly round 8 in a 12-team league). We rank him #128 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is fairly priced.

QHow many fantasy points will Patrick Mahomes score in 2026?

We project 16.7 PPR points per game across an expected 9 games — approximately 150 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 10.5 and 21.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #39 in projected scoring (#128 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Patrick Mahomes for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 67% of games, with a floor of 6 and a ceiling of 29 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 33% of games and busted (under half his average) in 17%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.