NFL / Rankings / Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

RANK #192025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRQB9QB · Kansas City ChiefsAge 306' 2"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →

Games

3,587

Pass yards

Pass TD

INT

422

Rush yards

304

FPTS (PPR)

21.7

FPTS / game

TIER 4 · #19 OVERALLDepth piece — #9 among quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes is ranked #9 among 54 eligible NFL quarterbacks. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 6.3 points per game below his average — but his workload held (275 total yards/game vs 286.4 on the season), so the dip is scoring efficiency, not usage. That usually bounces back.

Percentile85%

2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Patrick Mahomes 2026 fantasy outlook

QUESTIONABLE

19.8Proj FPTS · ~297 / 15 games

13.2–26.7Typical game · middle 50%

#671QB draft rank

#19Superflex rank

#14 · QB9Scoring rank · position

102.6ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #67 overall and QB9 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 102.6 — the market drafts him 65 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (286.4 total yards/gm), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK High^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Contested^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

KC 2026 schedule — bye week 5

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT

DEN

IND

@MIA

@LV

BYE

LAC

@SEA

@DEN

NYJ

W10

@ATL

W11

ARI

W12

@BUF

W13

@LAR

W14

@CIN

W15

W16

W17

@LAC

W18

Plan around the week-5 bye when pairing Mahomes with other QBs on your roster.

Patrick Mahomes consistency and floor

14 GAMES

8.5

Floor (p10)

21.7

Average

29.4

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered64%

Boom rate125%+ of average43%

Bust rateunder half of average14%

20.1

Season avg FPTS

19.3

Last 10 FPTS

15.4

Last 5 FPTS

Mahomes vs other quarterbacks

PERCENTILE · 54 RANKED

Pass yards3,58780

Pass TD2270

Rush yards42293

Fantasy PPG21.798

Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best

Mahomes fantasy points, last 14 games

2025 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 31.5SEASON LOW 6.3LAST 5 AVG 15.4

Patrick Mahomes game log — 2025

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

WK	OPP	RESULT	PASS YDS	PASS TD	INT	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	FPTS
15	LAC	L 16-13	189	0	1	15	1	13.1
14	HOU	L 20-10	160	0	3	59	0	6.3
13	@DAL	L 31-28	261	4	0	30	0	29.4
12	IND	W 23-20 OT	352	0	1	30	0	15.1
11	@DEN	L 22-19	276	1	1	3	0	13.3
9	@BUF	L 28-21	250	0	1	5	0	8.5
8	WSH	W 28-7	299	3	2	30	0	23
7	LV	W 31-0	286	3	0	28	0	26.2
6	DET	W 30-17	257	3	0	32	1	31.5
5	@JAX	L 31-28	318	1	1	60	1	26.7
4	BAL	W 37-20	270	4	0	5	0	27.3
3	@NYG	W 22-9	224	1	0	2	0	13.2
2	PHI	L 20-17	187	1	1	66	1	22.1
1	LAC	L 27-21	258	1	0	57	1	26

More on Mahomes and the QB board

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QIs Patrick Mahomes a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #19 overall, #9 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Patrick Mahomes be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 102.6 (roughly round 9 in a 12-team league). We rank him #67 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Patrick Mahomes score in 2026?

We project 19.8 PPR points per game across an expected 15 games — approximately 297 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 13.2 and 26.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #14 in projected scoring (#67 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Patrick Mahomes for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 64% of games, with a floor of 8.5 and a ceiling of 29.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 43% of games and busted (under half his average) in 14%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.