Josh Downs is ranked #41 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Percentile80%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK
Josh Downs 2026 fantasy outlook
8.4Proj FPTS · ~134 / 16 games
5.4–11.8Typical game · middle 50%
#1021QB draft rank
#123Superflex rank
#159 · WR41Scoring rank · position
136.4ADP (ESPN drafts)
We rank him #102 overall and WR41 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 136.4 — the market drafts him 56 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (6 touches/gm late vs 5.6 season), steady per-touch efficiency.
INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
IND 2026 schedule — bye week 13
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
BAL
W2
@KC
W3
HOU
W4
@WSH
W5
@PIT
W6
TEN
W7
@MIN
W8
@JAX
W9
DAL
W10
MIA
W11
@HOU
W12
NYG
W13
BYE
W14
@PHI
W15
@TEN
W16
CIN
W17
@CLE
W18
JAX
Plan around the week-13 bye when pairing Downs with other WRs on your roster.
Josh Downs consistency and floor
16 GAMES
3
Floor (p10)
8.7
Average
15.7
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered63%
Boom rate125%+ of average38%
Bust rateunder half of average19%
8.5
Season avg FPTS
8.3
Last 10 FPTS
8.7
Last 5 FPTS
Downs vs other wide receivers
PERCENTILE · 197 RANKED
Targets8882
Receptions5885
Rec yards56676
Rec TD481
Fantasy PPG8.775
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #122 overall, #41 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should Josh Downs be drafted in?
His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 136.4 (roughly round 12 in a 12-team league). We rank him #102 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.
QHow many fantasy points will Josh Downs score in 2026?
We project 8.4 PPR points per game across an expected 16 games — approximately 134 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 5.4 and 11.8 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #159 in projected scoring (#102 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is Josh Downs for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 63% of games, with a floor of 3 and a ceiling of 15.7 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 38% of games and busted (under half his average) in 19%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.