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A.J. Brown

A.J. Brown

RANK #472025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRWR11WR · New England PatriotsAge 296' 1"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →
15
Games
121
Targets
78
Receptions
1,003
Rec yards
7
Rec TD
220
FPTS (PPR)
14.7
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #47 OVERALLDepth piece — #11 among wide receivers

A.J. Brown is ranked #11 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.0 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 9.2 touches/game vs 8.1 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile95%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

A.J. Brown 2026 fantasy outlook

15.7Proj FPTS · ~251 / 16 games
7.722.9Typical game · middle 50%
#171QB draft rank
#29Superflex rank
#38 · WR11Scoring rank · position
26.1ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #17 overall and WR11 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 26.1 — the market drafts him 10 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (9.2 touches/gm late vs 8.1 season), late-season gains in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

NE 2026 schedule — bye week 11

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@SEA
W2
PIT
W3
@JAX
W4
@BUF
W5
LV
W6
NYJ
W7
@CHI
W8
@MIA
W9
GB
W10
@DET
W11
BYE
W12
@LAC
W13
BUF
W14
MIN
W15
@KC
W16
@NYJ
W17
DEN
W18
MIA
Plan around the week-11 bye when pairing Brown with other WRs on your roster.

A.J. Brown consistency and floor

15 GAMES
2.7
Floor (p10)
14.7
Average
28.1
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered67%
Boom rate125%+ of average33%
Bust rateunder half of average20%
14.7
Season avg FPTS
17.6
Last 10 FPTS
18.7
Last 5 FPTS

Brown vs other wide receivers

PERCENTILE · 197 RANKED
Targets12194
Receptions7895
Rec yards1,00392
Rec TD795
Fantasy PPG14.795
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best

Brown fantasy points, last 15 games

2025 · BOOM · BUST
40200AVG 14.71.8W17.7W222.9W32.7W49.3W514W628.1W73.3W1011.9W1125W1235.2W1316W1412.1W1518.5W1611.8W17
SEASON HIGH 35.2SEASON LOW 1.8LAST 5 AVG 18.7

A.J. Brown game log — 2025

BOOM · BUST
WKOPPRESULTTGTRECREC YDSREC TDRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
17@BUFW 13-12756800011.8
16@WSHW 29-181299500018.5
15LVW 31-0224110012.1
14@LACL 22-19 OT13610000016
13CHIL 24-15121013220035.2
12@DALL 24-2110811010025
11DETW 16-91174900011.9
10@GBW 10-732130003.3
7@MINW 28-226412120028.1
6@NYGL 34-17968000014
5DENL 21-1785430009.3
4@TBW 31-259270002.7
3LARW 33-2610610910022.9
2@KCW 20-1785270007.7
1DALW 24-201180001.8
QIs A.J. Brown a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #47 overall, #11 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should A.J. Brown be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 26.1 (roughly round 3 in a 12-team league). We rank him #17 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will A.J. Brown score in 2026?

We project 15.7 PPR points per game across an expected 16 games — approximately 251 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 7.7 and 22.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #38 in projected scoring (#17 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is A.J. Brown for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 67% of games, with a floor of 2.7 and a ceiling of 28.1 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 33% of games and busted (under half his average) in 20%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.