NFL / Rankings / Arian Smith

Arian Smith

RANK #4262025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRWR166WR · New York JetsAge 246' 0"2025 season

Games

Targets

Receptions

Rec yards

Rec TD

FPTS (PPR)

0.8

FPTS / game

TIER 6 · #426 OVERALLDepth piece — #166 among wide receivers

Arian Smith is ranked #166 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.

Percentile16%

2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Arian Smith 2026 fantasy outlook

1.1Proj FPTS · ~14 / 13 games

0.2–2.2Typical game · middle 50%

#3361QB draft rank

#346Superflex rank

#366 · WR166Scoring rank · position

170ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #336 overall and WR166 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 170 — the market drafts him 984 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (1.6 touches/gm late vs 1.7 season), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Low^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

NYJ 2026 schedule — bye week 13

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT

@TEN

@DET

@CHI

CLE

@NE

MIA

@KC

W10

BUF

W11

@LAC

W12

@MIA

W13

BYE

W14

DEN

W15

@ARI

W16

W17

MIN

W18

@BUF

Plan around the week-13 bye when pairing Smith with other WRs on your roster.

Arian Smith consistency and floor

16 GAMES

Floor (p10)

0.8

Average

2.4

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered50%

Boom rate125%+ of average31%

Bust rateunder half of average50%

0.8

Season avg FPTS

0.8

Last 10 FPTS

0.3

Last 5 FPTS

Smith vs other wide receivers

PERCENTILE · 197 RANKED

Targets1631

Receptions727

Rec yards5218

Rec TD031

Fantasy PPG0.812

Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best

Smith fantasy points, last 15 games

2025 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 3.3SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 0.3

Arian Smith game log — 2025

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

WK	OPP	RESULT	TGT	REC	REC YDS	RUSH YDS	FPTS
18	@BUF	L 35-8	2	0	0	2	0.2
17	NE	L 42-10	1	1	5	0	1.5
16	@NO	L 29-6	1	0	0	0	0
15	@JAX	L 48-20	2	0	0	0	0
14	MIA	L 34-10	0	0	0	0	0
12	@BAL	L 23-10	0	0	0	8	0.8
11	@NE	L 27-14	0	0	0	0	0
10	CLE	W 27-20	0	0	0	13	1.3
8	@CIN	W 39-38	1	1	23	0	3.3
7	CAR	L 13-6	3	1	0	0	1
6	DEN	L 13-11	1	0	0	0	0
5	DAL	L 37-22	1	1	14	0	2.4
4	@MIA	L 27-21	0	0	0	0	0
3	@TB	L 29-27	2	2	2	0	2.2
2	BUF	L 30-10	2	1	8	-10	0.8
1	PIT	L 34-32	0	0	0	0	0

More on Smith and the WR board

Wide Receivers rankings (2025 results)2025 full rankings 2026 draft projections

QIs Arian Smith a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #426 overall, #166 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Arian Smith be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 170 (roughly round 15 in a 12-team league). We rank him #336 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Arian Smith score in 2026?

We project 1.1 PPR points per game across an expected 13 games — approximately 14 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 0.2 and 2.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #366 in projected scoring (#336 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Arian Smith for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 50% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 2.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 31% of games and busted (under half his average) in 50%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.