Arian Smith is ranked #169 among 202 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up.
Percentile17%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated August 4
LATE FLIER
Arian Smith 2026 fantasy outlook
1.1Proj FPTS · ~14 / 13 games
0.2–2.2Typical game · middle 50%
#3381QB draft rank
#348Superflex rank
#367 · WR169Scoring rank · position
—ADP (ESPN drafts)
No live market price for him yet — we rank him #338 overall and WR169 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (1.6 touches/gm late vs 1.7 season), a late-season decline in per-touch efficiency.
INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated August 4 · ESPN ADP updated August 4 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
NYJ 2026 schedule — bye week 13
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@TEN
W2
GB
W3
@DET
W4
@CHI
W5
CLE
W6
@NE
W7
MIA
W8
LV
W9
@KC
W10
BUF
W11
@LAC
W12
@MIA
W13
BYE
W14
DEN
W15
@ARI
W16
NE
W17
MIN
W18
@BUF
Plan around the week-13 bye when pairing Smith with other WRs on your roster.
Arian Smith consistency and floor
16 GAMES
0
Floor (p10)
0.8
Average
2.4
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered50%
Boom rate125%+ of average31%
Bust rateunder half of average50%
0.8
Season avg FPTS
0.8
Last 10 FPTS
0.3
Last 5 FPTS
Smith vs other wide receivers
PERCENTILE · 204 RANKED
Targets1633
Receptions728
Rec yards5219
Rec TD033
Fantasy PPG0.812
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #427 overall, #169 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should Arian Smith be drafted in?
Late rounds or waivers — he finished #427, so treat him as a flier.
QHow many fantasy points will Arian Smith score in 2026?
We project 1.1 PPR points per game across an expected 13 games — approximately 14 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 0.2 and 2.2 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #367 in projected scoring (#338 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is Arian Smith for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 50% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 2.4 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 31% of games and busted (under half his average) in 50%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.