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Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams

RANK #112025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRQB5QB · Chicago BearsAge 246' 1"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →
17
Games
3,942
Pass yards
27
Pass TD
0
INT
388
Rush yards
333
FPTS (PPR)
19.6
FPTS / game
TIER 3 · #11 OVERALLCore starter — #5 among quarterbacks

Caleb Williams is ranked #5 among 54 eligible NFL quarterbacks. A dependable weekly starter you draft with confidence. His final five games came in 1.1 points per game below his average — but his workload held (259.4 total yards/game vs 254.7 on the season), so the dip is scoring efficiency, not usage. That usually bounces back.

Percentile93%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Caleb Williams 2026 fantasy outlook

18.4Proj FPTS · ~313 / 17 games
11.8–23.7Typical game · middle 50%
#481QB draft rank
#14Superflex rank
#20 · QB5Scoring rank · position
90.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #48 overall and QB5 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 90.8 — the market drafts him 76 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: stable workload (254.7 total yards/gm), steady per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Solid?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

CHI 2026 schedule — bye week 10

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@CAR
W2
MIN
W3
PHI
W4
NYJ
W5
@GB
W6
@ATL
W7
NE
W8
@SEA
W9
TB
W10
BYE
W11
NO
W12
@DET
W13
JAX
W14
@MIA
W15
@BUF
W16
GB
W17
DET
W18
@MIN
Plan around the week-10 bye when pairing Williams with other QBs on your roster.

Caleb Williams consistency and floor

17 GAMES
9.5
Floor (p10)
19.6
Average
28.5
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered71%
Boom rate125%+ of average35%
Bust rateunder half of average6%
18.2
Season avg FPTS
19.0
Last 10 FPTS
18.5
Last 5 FPTS

Williams vs other quarterbacks

PERCENTILE · 54 RANKED
Pass yards3,94289
Pass TD2791
Rush yards38889
Fantasy PPG19.687
Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best

Williams fantasy points, last 15 games

2025 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST
40200AVG 19.629.1W311.8W420.4W64.7W711.8W828.5W925.1W1010.3W1123.7W129.5W1314.9W1419W1521W1623W1714.6W18
SEASON HIGH 29.1SEASON LOW 4.7LAST 5 AVG 18.5

Caleb Williams game log — 2025

■ BOOM · ■ BUST
WKOPPRESULTPASS YDSPASS TDINTRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
18DETL 19-16212211014.6
17@SFL 42-383302018023
16GBW 22-16 OT2502030021
15CLEW 31-32422013019
14@GBL 28-211862115014.9
13@PHIW 24-15154111309.5
12PITW 31-282393021023.7
11@MINW 19-171930026010.3
10NYGW 24-202201063125.1
9@CINW 47-422803053028.5
8@BALL 30-162850124011.8
7NOW 26-1417201-204.7
6@WSHW 25-24252103120.4
4@LVW 25-242121113011.8
3DALW 31-142984012029.1
2@DETL 52-212072127017
1MINL 27-242101058124.2

More on Williams and the QB board

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QIs Caleb Williams a good fantasy pick?

Yes. Caleb Williams ranks #11 overall and #5 among quarterbacks with 333 PPR points last season. Core starter — #5 among quarterbacks.

QWhat round should Caleb Williams be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 90.8 (roughly round 8 in a 12-team league). We rank him #48 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Caleb Williams score in 2026?

We project 18.4 PPR points per game across an expected 17 games — approximately 313 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 11.8 and 23.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #20 in projected scoring (#48 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Caleb Williams for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 71% of games, with a floor of 9.5 and a ceiling of 28.5 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 35% of games and busted (under half his average) in 6%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.