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Dawson Knox

Dawson Knox

RANK #1902025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRTE28TE · Buffalo BillsAge 296' 4"2025 season
17
Games
49
Targets
36
Receptions
417
Rec yards
4
Rec TD
102
FPTS (PPR)
6.0
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #190 OVERALLDepth piece — #28 among tight ends

Dawson Knox is ranked #28 among 115 eligible NFL tight ends. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. He closed the season hot — 4.9 points per game above his average over the final five games, driven by a bigger role: 4 touches/game vs 3.1 season-long. Volume gains tend to stick.

Percentile77%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
VALUE PICK

Dawson Knox 2026 fantasy outlook

6.9Proj FPTS · ~110 / 16 games
3.58.9Typical game · middle 50%
#1411QB draft rank
#163Superflex rank
#198 · TE28Scoring rank · position
169.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #141 overall and TE28 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 169.8 — the market drafts him 319 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: growing workload (4 touches/gm late vs 3.1 season), late-season gains in per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Low?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Medium?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

BUF 2026 schedule — bye week 7

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@HOU
W2
DET
W3
LAC
W4
NE
W5
@LAR
W6
@LV
W7
BYE
W8
BAL
W9
@MIN
W10
@NYJ
W11
MIA
W12
KC
W13
@NE
W14
@GB
W15
CHI
W16
@DEN
W17
@MIA
W18
NYJ
Plan around the week-7 bye when pairing Knox with other TEs on your roster.

Dawson Knox consistency and floor

17 GAMES
0
Floor (p10)
6.0
Average
15.3
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered47%
Boom rate125%+ of average29%
Bust rateunder half of average24%
6.0
Season avg FPTS
7.9
Last 10 FPTS
10.9
Last 5 FPTS

Knox vs other tight ends

PERCENTILE · 115 RANKED
Targets4977
Receptions3676
Rec yards41777
Rec TD485
Fantasy PPG6.073
Percentile among all ranked NFL tight ends · 99 = best

Knox fantasy points, last 15 games

2025 · BOOM · BUST
30150AVG 6.00W30W43.5W58.9W62.5W84W96.7W103.3W114.7W125.8W1315.3W1418.7W152W168W1710.4W18
SEASON HIGH 18.7SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 10.9

Dawson Knox game log — 2025

BOOM · BUST
WKOPPRESULTTGTRECREC YDSREC TDRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
18NYJW 35-8222410010.4
17PHIL 13-1255300008
16@CLEW 23-2021100002
15@NEW 35-31433720018.7
14CINW 39-34769300015.3
13@PITW 26-743280005.8
12@HOUL 23-1943170004.7
11TBW 44-3231230003.3
10@MIAL 30-1343370006.7
9KCW 28-2111300004
8@CARW 40-911150002.5
6@ATLL 24-1421191008.9
5NEL 23-2022150003.5
4NOW 31-191000000
3MIAW 31-210000000
2@NYJW 30-1052190003.9
1BALW 41-4022200004
QIs Dawson Knox a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #190 overall, #28 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Dawson Knox be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 169.8 (roughly round 15 in a 12-team league). We rank him #141 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Dawson Knox score in 2026?

We project 6.9 PPR points per game across an expected 16 games — approximately 110 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 3.5 and 8.9 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #198 in projected scoring (#141 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Dawson Knox for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 47% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 15.3 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 29% of games and busted (under half his average) in 24%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.