NFL / Rankings / Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

RANK #182025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRQB8QB · Los Angeles ChargersAge 286' 6"2025 seasonPROP GUIDE →

Games

3,727

Pass yards

Pass TD

INT

498

Rush yards

313

FPTS (PPR)

19.6

FPTS / game

TIER 4 · #18 OVERALLDepth piece — #8 among quarterbacks

Justin Herbert is ranked #8 among 54 eligible NFL quarterbacks. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 3.0 points per game below his average, and the workload confirms it: 237.8 total yards/game over that stretch vs 264.1 on the season — a real role change worth monitoring.

Percentile87%

2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27

VALUE PICK

Justin Herbert 2026 fantasy outlook

18.1Proj FPTS · ~290 / 16 games

14.2–27.7Typical game · middle 50%

#751QB draft rank

#23Superflex rank

#24 · QB8Scoring rank · position

107.8ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #75 overall and QB8 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 107.8 — the market drafts him 56 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there. Projection drivers: shrinking workload (237.8 total yards/gm late vs 264.1 season), steady per-touch efficiency.

INJURY RISK Low^?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low^?ROLE SECURITY Contested^?How we grade risk

Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

LAC 2026 schedule — bye week 7

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT

ARI

@BUF

@SEA

DEN

@KC

BYE

@LAR

HOU

W10

@BAL

W11

NYJ

W12

W13

@TB

W14

@LV

W15

W16

@MIA

W17

W18

@DEN

Plan around the week-7 bye when pairing Herbert with other QBs on your roster.

Justin Herbert consistency and floor

16 GAMES

10.4

Floor (p10)

19.6

Average

27.9

Ceiling (p90)

Consistency75%+ of average delivered75%

Boom rate125%+ of average31%

Bust rateunder half of average6%

18.1

Season avg FPTS

18.2

Last 10 FPTS

16.5

Last 5 FPTS

Herbert vs other quarterbacks

PERCENTILE · 54 RANKED

Pass yards3,72785

Pass TD2689

Rush yards49898

Fantasy PPG19.687

Percentile among all ranked NFL quarterbacks · 99 = best

Herbert fantasy points, last 15 games

2025 · ■ BOOM · ■ BUST

SEASON HIGH 30.2SEASON LOW 3.3LAST 5 AVG 16.6

Justin Herbert game log — 2025

■ BOOM · ■ BUST

WK	OPP	RESULT	PASS YDS	PASS TD	INT	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	FPTS
17	HOU	L 20-16	236	1	1	37	0	15.1
16	@DAL	W 34-17	300	2	0	42	1	30.2
15	@KC	W 16-13	210	1	1	0	0	10.4
14	PHI	W 22-19 OT	139	1	1	66	0	14.2
13	LV	W 31-14	151	2	1	8	0	12.8
11	@JAX	L 35-6	81	0	1	21	0	3.3
10	PIT	W 25-10	220	1	0	19	0	14.7
9	@TEN	W 27-20	250	2	1	57	1	27.7
8	MIN	W 37-10	227	3	1	62	0	25.3
7	IND	L 38-24	420	3	2	31	0	27.9
6	@MIA	W 29-27	264	2	0	2	0	18.8
5	WSH	L 27-10	166	1	1	60	0	14.6
4	@NYG	L 21-18	203	1	2	24	0	10.5
3	DEN	W 23-20	300	1	1	6	0	14.6
2	@LV	W 20-9	242	2	0	31	0	20.8
1	KC	W 27-21	318	3	0	32	0	27.9

More on Herbert and the QB board

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QIs Justin Herbert a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #18 overall, #8 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Justin Herbert be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 107.8 (roughly round 9 in a 12-team league). We rank him #75 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Justin Herbert score in 2026?

We project 18.1 PPR points per game across an expected 16 games — approximately 290 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 14.2 and 27.7 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #24 in projected scoring (#75 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Justin Herbert for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 75% of games, with a floor of 10.4 and a ceiling of 27.9 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 31% of games and busted (under half his average) in 6%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.