TURFSPLIT
NFL / Rankings / Luke McCaffrey
Luke McCaffrey

Luke McCaffrey

RANK #2972025 RESULTS · FULL-PPRWR105WR · Washington CommandersAge 256' 2"2025 season
9
Games
15
Targets
11
Receptions
203
Rec yards
3
Rec TD
49
FPTS (PPR)
5.5
FPTS / game
TIER 6 · #297 OVERALLDepth piece — #105 among wide receivers

Luke McCaffrey is ranked #105 among 202 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.1 points per game below his average.

Percentile49%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated August 4
VALUE PICK

Luke McCaffrey 2026 fantasy outlook

7.0Proj FPTS · ~70 / 10 games
2.910.3Typical game · middle 50%
#2051QB draft rank
#226Superflex rank
#197 · WR105Scoring rank · position
170ADP (ESPN drafts)

We rank him #205 overall and WR105 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts versus an ADP of 170 — the market drafts him 791 spots later than we rank him. Strong value if he's still there.

INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated August 4 · ESPN ADP updated August 4 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log

WSH 2026 schedule — bye week 7

17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@PHI
W2
@DAL
W3
SEA
W4
IND
W5
NYG
W6
@SF
W7
BYE
W8
PHI
W9
LAR
W10
@NYG
W11
CIN
W12
@ARI
W13
@TEN
W14
HOU
W15
ATL
W16
@MIN
W17
@JAX
W18
DAL
Plan around the week-7 bye when pairing McCaffrey with other WRs on your roster.

Luke McCaffrey consistency and floor

9 GAMES
0
Floor (p10)
5.5
Average
14.6
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered56%
Boom rate125%+ of average33%
Bust rateunder half of average33%
5.5
Season avg FPTS
5.5
Last 10 FPTS
4.3
Last 5 FPTS

McCaffrey vs other wide receivers

PERCENTILE · 204 RANKED
Targets1532
Receptions1139
Rec yards20346
Rec TD375
Fantasy PPG5.560
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best

McCaffrey fantasy points, last 9 games

2025 · BOOM · BUST
20100AVG 5.50W12.9W214.6W310.1W46W510.3W60W75.4W80W9
SEASON HIGH 14.6SEASON LOW 0LAST 5 AVG 4.4

Luke McCaffrey game log — 2025

BOOM · BUST
WKOPPRESULTTGTRECREC YDSREC TDRUSH YDSRUSH TDFPTS
9SEAL 38-140000000
8@KCL 28-733240005.4
7@DALL 44-222000000
6CHIL 25-24113310010.3
5@LACW 27-1021500006
4@ATLL 34-27322110010.1
3LVW 41-24335610014.6
2@GBL 27-1811190002.9
1NYGW 21-60000000
QIs Luke McCaffrey a good fantasy pick?

He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #297 overall, #105 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.

QWhat round should Luke McCaffrey be drafted in?

His current ADP in ESPN drafts is 170 (roughly round 15 in a 12-team league). We rank him #205 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts, so he is a value at that price.

QHow many fantasy points will Luke McCaffrey score in 2026?

We project 7 PPR points per game across an expected 10 games — approximately 70 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 2.9 and 10.3 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #197 in projected scoring (#205 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).

QHow consistent is Luke McCaffrey for fantasy?

He delivered at least 75% of his average in 56% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 14.6 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 33% of games and busted (under half his average) in 33%.

Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.