Luke McCaffrey is ranked #104 among 197 eligible NFL wide receivers. He profiles as a bench or matchup-based option — draft late or stream when the schedule lines up. His final five games came in 1.1 points per game below his average.
Percentile48%
2025 season results · Computed from official box scores · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · updated July 27
LATE FLIER
Luke McCaffrey 2026 fantasy outlook
7.0Proj FPTS · ~70 / 10 games
2.9–10.3Typical game · middle 50%
#2001QB draft rank
#222Superflex rank
#196 · WR104Scoring rank · position
—ADP (ESPN drafts)
No live market price for him yet — we rank him #200 overall and WR104 in 1QB Full-PPR drafts.
INJURY RISK High?AGE/WORKLOAD RISK Low?ROLE SECURITY Unsettled?How we grade risk
Projection updated July 27 · ESPN ADP updated July 27 · Range = 25th–75th percentile of his 2025 game log
WSH 2026 schedule — bye week 7
17 GAMES · SEASON STARTS SEPT
W1
@PHI
W2
@DAL
W3
SEA
W4
IND
W5
NYG
W6
@SF
W7
BYE
W8
PHI
W9
LAR
W10
@NYG
W11
CIN
W12
@ARI
W13
@TEN
W14
HOU
W15
ATL
W16
@MIN
W17
@JAX
W18
DAL
Plan around the week-7 bye when pairing McCaffrey with other WRs on your roster.
Luke McCaffrey consistency and floor
9 GAMES
0
Floor (p10)
5.5
Average
14.6
Ceiling (p90)
Consistency75%+ of average delivered56%
Boom rate125%+ of average33%
Bust rateunder half of average33%
5.5
Season avg FPTS
5.5
Last 10 FPTS
4.3
Last 5 FPTS
McCaffrey vs other wide receivers
PERCENTILE · 197 RANKED
Targets1530
Receptions1138
Rec yards20345
Rec TD375
Fantasy PPG5.559
Percentile among all ranked NFL wide receivers · 99 = best
He's a depth option, not a priority pick: #296 overall, #104 at his position. Draft late or stream based on matchups.
QWhat round should Luke McCaffrey be drafted in?
Late rounds or waivers — he finished #296, so treat him as a flier.
QHow many fantasy points will Luke McCaffrey score in 2026?
We project 7 PPR points per game across an expected 10 games — approximately 70 points for the season. His typical game last season landed between 2.9 and 10.3 (middle 50% of results), and that puts him #196 in projected scoring (#200 on the 1QB draft board once positional value is applied).
QHow consistent is Luke McCaffrey for fantasy?
He delivered at least 75% of his average in 56% of games, with a floor of 0 and a ceiling of 14.6 fantasy points. He boomed (125%+ of average) in 33% of games and busted (under half his average) in 33%.
Answers computed by TurfSplit from official box scores.
