Marcus Mariota Player Props
QB · Washington Commanders · #148 overall in our rankings · full fantasy profile →
Reference lines are computed by TurfSplit from Mariota's 10-game log — the half-point line closest to a 50/50 over rate, the same way books open a market. They are research numbers, not live sportsbook odds, and every percentage below is a historical over rate — how often the line was beaten last season, not a forecast of probability. Not betting advice.
Passing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
207.5Reference line
5/10Historical over rate · 50%
3/5Overs, last 5
30–294Range · avg 169.5
Alt lines · historical over rate167.560%187.560%227.510%247.510%
Passing TDs■ OVER · ■ UNDER
0.5Reference line
7/10Historical over rate · 70%
3/5Overs, last 5
0–2Range · avg 1
Alt lines · historical over rate1.530%2.50%
Interceptions■ OVER · ■ UNDER
0.5Reference line
6/10Historical over rate · 60%
3/5Overs, last 5
0–2Range · avg 0.7
Alt lines · historical over rate1.510%2.50%
Rushing Yards■ OVER · ■ UNDER
28.5Reference line
5/10Historical over rate · 50%
3/5Overs, last 5
-1–55Range · avg 29.7
Alt lines · historical over rate8.580%18.580%38.540%48.520%
Negative single-game totals are real, not a data error — kneel-downs count as negative rushing yards in the official box score.