2027 NFL Mock: Dolphins Tank for Arch Manning, Jets Sit on 3 First-Rounders

A new 2027 mock draft floats a scenario Dolphins fans won't want to hear but should probably prepare for: Miami tanking its way to the No. 1 pick and landing Texas quarterback Arch Manning. The projection, which set its order using reverse Super Bowl odds, frames it simply — if Manning plays a full season the way he did down the 2025 stretch, he's a no-brainer at the top. And if Miami is picking first, it likely means the Malik Willis experiment fizzled.

That last part matters for anyone still rostering Willis. In 2025 he managed just 51 PPR points across four games (422 pass yards, 3 TD, 123 rush yards, 2 rush TD) — replacement-level output that reads more like a bridge than a solution. The mock projects Miami as a top-three cap-space team over the next two offseasons, so the plan is clearly to draft a young quarterback and build around him rather than keep patching the position.

The Jets Are Loaded

The real headline for roster-builders is New York. The Jets are projected to hold three first-round picks — their own, Dallas' selection from the Quinnen Williams trade, and Indianapolis' from the Sauce Gardner deal. The mock has them targeting an edge rusher described as the freakiest athlete at the position since Myles Garrett, then doubling back for secondary help. Three cracks at the first round is franchise-altering leverage, and it hints at a defense being rebuilt from the front seven back.

There's a fantasy-relevant wrinkle for the Giants, too. The projection pairs Jaxson Dart with a deep-threat receiver who can separate downfield and win at the catch point, slotting alongside Malik Nabers and Malachi Fields. Dart posted 242 PPR points in 2025 despite playing just 14 games — 15 passing TDs, 5 picks, and a monster 487 rushing yards with 9 scores. That rushing floor is why he's our #16 QB (overall #36). More weapons only sweeten the outlook.

Elsewhere, the mock has Tennessee grabbing a blindside tackle to protect Cam Ward, who put up 201 PPR points over a full 17-game slate in 2025 and is trending up — plus-2.7 fantasy points per game over his last five versus his season average. He's our QB22 (overall #64), a streamer-plus type whose 2026-27 value climbs if that protection actually arrives.

The fantasy takeaway: none of this is actionable in a redraft this week, but the signals are real. Drop Malik Willis in anything but the deepest dynasty leagues — a tank-and-draft path makes him a placeholder. Hold Jaxson Dart with confidence; the dual-threat production is already there and the roster around him is trending younger and faster. And in dynasty formats, the Jets' pick stockpile is worth monitoring closely, because franchises with three first-rounders tend to reshape their fantasy landscape in a hurry.