TURFSPLIT

Josh Allen Leads Early MVP Race, But Kareem Walker Is Right Behind

Allen has 5 pass TDs and a league-high 4 rushing scores through two games — but a Chiefs RB is crashing the QB party for fantasy managers.

Josh Allen Leads Early MVP Race, But Kareem Walker Is Right Behind
SELL HIGH
Jonathan Taylor

Elite name, but form is trending down and the Chiefs backfield stole his Week 2 thunder.

Key numbers
  • Allen: 5 pass TDs, 4 rush TDs, 0 INT in 2 games
  • Allen leads NFL in AY/A (11.4), 125.8 passer rating
  • Walker out-rushed Taylor 117-92 on Monday night
  • Taylor: -8.3 fantasy pts vs avg over his last 5 (2025)
  • St. Brown tied for NFL lead in receiving TDs early

Two weeks in, and if the MVP ballot dropped this morning, Josh Allen wins it walking away. The 2024 winner is the first player in league history to open a season with five-plus touchdown passes and three-plus touchdown runs through two games — he's actually got five through the air and a league-best four on the ground, with zero interceptions. Buffalo is 2-0 after beating the Texans and Lions, and Allen enters Week 3 with a 125.8 passer rating and the NFL lead in adjusted yards per attempt at 11.4.

That's the ceiling nobody in fantasy needs a reminder about. Allen is the rare QB whose rushing floor makes him a weekly cheat code, and four rushing scores in two games is the kind of pace that wins leagues outright. If you drafted him, you already know. If you didn't, there's nothing to do but sigh.

The RB Crashing the QB Party

The more interesting fantasy story is Kareem Walker in Kansas City. The reigning Super Bowl MVP signed on and immediately ripped off 173 yards and a score against Denver in Week 1, then out-rushed Jonathan Taylor 117 to 92 on Monday night as the Chiefs beat the Colts in overtime. He's not just a grinder, either — Walker caught a touchdown in the opener and hauled in six balls for 61 yards against Indy.

That workload matters for anyone holding Taylor, who our model ranks #7 overall and RB4 heading into the year. Taylor put up 360 PPR points across 17 games last season (2025) and is a genuine stud, but his form was already cooling — he averaged 8.3 fantasy points below his own season mark over his final five games of 2025. Getting out-carried by Walker in a marquee matchup isn't the trajectory you want.

Everyone Else Making Noise

The rest of the leaderboard reads like a fantasy hot-list: Brock Purdy leads the league at 80% completions with five TDs, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has already found the end zone four times catching passes from Drew Lock, and Derrick Henry has four rushing scores. Amon-Ra St. Brown barely missed the MVP cut despite tying for the league lead in receiving touchdowns — no surprise for a receiver our model ranks WR3 (#13 overall) after a 324-point PPR campaign in 2025.

The verdict: enjoy Allen while he's this hot, and start him every single week without a second thought. But Taylor managers should be paying attention. His name value is peaking right as his usage and form dip — this is the window to shop him to a rival who still sees the RB4 label and not the box scores. Sell high before Walker's timeshare becomes common knowledge.