TURFSPLIT

Patrick Mahomes Targets Week One Return, Nine Months After ACL Tear

Mahomes says the Chiefs' opener lands exactly nine months to the day after his ACL surgery — right on the recovery timeline doctors gave him.

Patrick Mahomes Targets Week One Return, Nine Months After ACL Tear
BUY LOW
Patrick Mahomes

Full-go for Week 1 at a discount if drafters are still nervous about the knee.

Key numbers
  • Opener falls 9 months to the day after ACL surgery
  • Skipped the entire preseason as a precaution
  • QB9 in our ranks, 304 PPR pts in 2025 (14 games)
  • Threw 22 TD, 0 INT last season before the injury
  • Added 422 rush yds, 5 rush TD in 2025

Patrick Mahomes says he's on track to start Kansas City's Week One opener, and the math is almost poetic: the game falls exactly nine months to the day after he tore his ACL. Mahomes noted that was the number doctors floated from the jump — nine months to a full return if he did everything right — and he's treating the opener as the goal he set the day he had surgery.

That's a meaningful update for anyone drafting a quarterback this week. Mahomes hasn't taken a preseason snap, sitting out entirely as a precaution, but he insists the plan is going accordingly and he expects to go out and be himself against a live opponent at Arrowhead. Before the injury he posted 304 PPR points across 14 games in 2025 — QB9 in our ranks — on 3,587 passing yards, 22 touchdowns and zero interceptions.

The Rushing Piece Matters

The interceptions number is the eye-catcher, but the rushing line is what keeps Mahomes locked into the QB1 tier for fantasy. He ran for 422 yards and five scores in 2025, and that mobility is exactly the sort of thing you sweat with a repaired knee. A quarterback who's still willing to tuck and run is the difference between a low-end QB1 and a genuine every-week starter — so how freely he moves in Week One is the real test, not the box score.

He also sounds like a guy itching to compete. Mahomes said the preseason had his competitive juices flowing, and he singled out kicker Harrison Butker's 69-yard field goal as a moment that got him fired up watching from the sideline. Butker sits at PK11 in our rankings after 130 PPR points in 2025, so that leg is a nice bonus in a Chiefs offense that should generate plenty of scoring chances.

The Fantasy Takeaway

If Mahomes is truly a full go, he's a value at whatever price nervous drafters are paying. The blank preseason and the ACL history may have pushed him down a few boards, but the underlying profile — elite ball security, a dual-threat floor, a loaded passing game — hasn't changed. Buy low now, plan to start him Week One, and let the knee do the talking. Just keep a streaming QB on your bench for the first month in case the mobility takes a few weeks to return.