TURFSPLIT

Tua Tops Falcons Depth Chart as Penix Jr. Slips to 'Injured' Limbo

Atlanta lists Tagovailoa as QB1 with Penix Jr. off the chart entirely — a red flag for anyone counting on the second-year passer in Week 1.

Tua Tops Falcons Depth Chart as Penix Jr. Slips to 'Injured' Limbo
SELL HIGH
Michael Penix Jr.

Off the depth chart, no 11-on-11 reps, and a regime with no ties to him.

Key numbers
  • Tua listed QB1, Rush QB2, Strand QB3
  • Penix listed as 'injured player,' not on PUP
  • Penix: 1,982 yds, 9 TD in 9 games (2025)
  • Tua: 20 TD, 15 INT, 161 PPR pts (2025)
  • Penix practicing but no 11-on-11 reps yet

Atlanta's official depth chart tells a story fantasy managers didn't want to read: Tua Tagovailoa is the starter, Cooper Rush is the backup, Jack Strand is third, and Michael Penix Jr. isn't listed at all. He shows up separately as an "injured player" — the guy the Falcons traded up to the eighth overall pick to grab, now buried in a footnote.

Penix is coming off last year's ACL injury and isn't on the PUP list, so he's technically available. But there's a catch: he's practicing without taking part in 11-on-11 drills. That's the gap between "on the mend" and "ready to start," and with camp winding down in mid-August, the calendar isn't his friend.

What The Chart Actually Says

The read here is simple. If Penix can't get full-team reps in time, Tua wins the job by default for Week 1 — and if Tua plays well, dislodging him gets tougher by the week. Depth charts aren't gospel in August, but a healthy incumbent doesn't usually get demoted to an injury note by accident.

There's also a political layer. Coach Kevin Stefanski, G.M. Ian Cunningham and president of football Matt Ryan all arrived after Atlanta spent that eighth pick on Penix. They've got no draft-capital ego tied to him, which means they'll roll with whoever gives them the best shot — no loyalty tax attached.

On paper, Penix flashed real upside as a rookie. He threw for 1,982 yards with 9 touchdowns against 3 picks in 9 games last season (2025, actual), plus a rushing score — good for 122 PPR points and a QB34 finish in our ranks. That's a real arm attached to a nice weapons room. It just doesn't matter if he's not on the field.

Tua, meanwhile, posted 2,660 yards, 20 touchdowns and a rough 15 interceptions across 14 games last season (2025, actual), totaling 161 PPR points as our QB26. His last five outings ran two fantasy points below his season average, so the ceiling isn't screaming streamer-plus. He's a floor play with volume, not a difference-maker.

Rush is the pure emergency valve. His 2025 line — 303 yards, 0 touchdowns, 4 picks in 4 games, 2 PPR points, unranked — is exactly what a backup's stat sheet looks like. If you're rostering Rush for fantasy reasons, something has gone very wrong.

The Fantasy Fallout

The winner, for now, is Tua. If you drafted him as a QB2 or a bye-week fill-in, this cements a Week 1 role and modest streaming value in good matchups. Don't overpay to chase him, but he's a defensible late-round dart with the Falcons' skill talent around him.

The loser is anyone holding Penix as a breakout QB1. Being omitted from the chart with no 11-on-11 work and a neutral front office is a stack of red flags. In redraft, he's droppable in shallow formats and a bench stash at best in deeper ones.

The move: sell high on Penix if a leaguemate still believes in the preseason hype, and hold Tua as a cheap streamer while the job is his. Revisit if Penix clears full contact and starts pushing for reps — but until he's back in team drills, treat this as Tua's offense and plan accordingly.