Justin Herbert vs Patrick Mahomes
Comparison based on 2025 results · Full-PPR scoring, ranked by last-season total points · the verdict also weighs 2026 projections, availability and ADP
PPR pts (season)
313304
313PPR pts (season)304
PPR pts / game
19.621.7
19.6PPR pts / game21.7
Games played
1614
16Games played14
Pass yards
3,7273,587
3,727Pass yards3,587
Pass TD
2622
26Pass TD22
Floor (p10)
10.48.5
10.4Floor (p10)8.5
Ceiling (p90)
27.929.4
27.9Ceiling (p90)29.4
Consistency %
7564
75Consistency %64
Proj pts/game (2026)
18.119.8
18.1Proj pts/game (2026)19.8
Proj games (2026)
1615
16Proj games (2026)15
ADP (lower = pricier)
108.6105
108.6ADP (lower = pricier)105
THE PICKJustin Herbert
Justin Herbert holds the 2025 edge: 9 PPR points over the season, finishing #18 overall vs #19. That said, our 2026 projection actually flips the call — 19.8 vs 18.1 projected points per game in Mahomes's favor. Justin Herbert remains the preferred Full-PPR pick.
Based on 2025 results plus 2026 projections and live ADP · Computed by TurfSplit from official box scores — not an opinion poll.
Game-by-game form · 2025BOTH CHARTS SHARE ONE SCALE
Justin Herbert — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -3.0
Patrick Mahomes — last 12 gamesLAST 5 VS AVG -6.3