TURFSPLIT

Josh Allen's TD Streak Meets Puka Nacua's Target Hog in Bills-Rams MNF

Allen has scored a rushing TD in all four games (7 total) and headlines a Monday nighter oozing shootout potential. Here's the fantasy read.

Josh Allen's TD Streak Meets Puka Nacua's Target Hog in Bills-Rams MNF
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Josh Allen

Prime-time shootout, 7 rush TDs in 4 games — fire him up with zero hesitation.

Key numbers
  • Allen: 7 rush TDs, 0 INT through 4 games (2026)
  • Allen QB2 in our rankings, 121 PPR pts (2026)
  • Stafford QB1 in our model but 6 INT in 4 games (2026)
  • Nacua drew 12 targets, 9 catches last week
  • DJ Moore banged up — opens door for Keon Coleman

Monday night in Los Angeles has the makings of a track meet, and the numbers back it up. Josh Allen has found the end zone in every single game this season — seven rushing touchdowns already through four weeks — and he walks into a spot where Buffalo flat-out needs the win. A loss actually drops the Bills out of the AFC East lead after last week's gut-punch finish against New England. Allen sits as our QB2 and the No. 6 player overall, having racked up 121 PPR points across four games in 2026.

On the other sideline, Matthew Stafford is our QB1 by ranking but a messier fantasy asset than that label suggests — 6 touchdowns against 6 interceptions and just 62 PPR points so far in 2026. The Rams are scrapping in the toughest division in football, chasing an undefeated San Francisco and a 3-2 Seattle. Win here and they pull even with the Seahawks. That's a desperation cocktail on both sidelines, which is exactly why this total is one of the fattest we've seen all year.

Why This Projects As A Shootout

The logic is simple: Buffalo's offense is explosive and prime time tends to bring Superman out of Allen, while the Rams can score in bunches of their own. His five carries last week were a season low and worth a raised eyebrow, but a guy who's scored on the ground every week isn't someone you bench over one quiet rushing split. If the Rams generate pressure, he'll scramble more, not less.

The Pass-Catchers To Watch

Puka Nacua is the one to circle. His return has restored his monster usage — nine catches on 12 targets last week — and Sean McVay has even dialed up goal-line rushes for him, one of which went for a score against the Eagles. Davante Adams is still live as our WR9 (73 PPR points, 2 TDs in 2026), but Nacua is soaking up the volume right now. In Buffalo, keep an eye on Keon Coleman, who's trending up with DJ Moore (our WR33, 36 PPR points in 2026) banged up heading into the game.

Fantasy bottom line: Allen is a locked-in START every week, and a prime-time shootout only sweetens it. Nacua is a confident WR1 start given the target share, and Adams remains a solid flex-plus play in a high-total game. If you're thin at receiver and Moore stays limited, Coleman is a sneaky add worth a bench stash — Allen's trust in him is the kind of thing that turns waiver fliers into weekly starters.